乌不再申请加入北约(000922)乌克兰败后北约会怎样

2022-08-11 11:03:14 股票 xialuotejs

乌不再申请加入北约



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俄乌局势持续升温之际,乌克兰驻英国大使14日表示,乌克兰“可能同意”放弃加入北约,以避免与俄罗斯发生战争。

据俄罗斯卫星通讯社报道,乌驻英大使瓦季姆·普里斯泰科(Vadym Prystaiko)告诉BBC,乌克兰愿对其加入北约的目标保持“灵活态度”。

当被问及是否会改变加入北约的立场时,普里斯泰科说,“我们可能会……特别是受到这样威胁的情况下。”

长安街知事注意到,上述言论引发舆论高度关注,被西方媒体认为是乌克兰向俄罗斯作出巨大让步。

不过,普里斯泰科话音刚落,乌克兰总统办公室赶忙出面澄清,称加入北约的目标已被写入乌克兰宪法。

普里斯泰科接受BBC采访。视频截图

乌总统办公室的表态,也让普里斯泰科随后“改口”。他说,乌克兰已经准备好做出许多让步以避免战争,但这些让步与加入北约“无关”。他强调,基辅不会压制其加入北约的决心。乌克兰正在寻求与英国和美国达成更多双边协议,以确保其安全。

去年12月,俄罗斯向美国和北约提出并对外公布两份安全保障协议草案,划定安全“红线”,要求北约承诺停止扩张,不吸收乌克兰或别国加入。

连日来,美国等西方国家不断渲染俄罗斯在靠近俄乌边境的地区集结重兵,有“入侵”乌克兰之势。俄罗斯则否认这一说法,强调自身安全空间受侵蚀,有权在境内调动部队,无意进攻他国;同时俄方要求美国及北大西洋公约组织签署协议给予俄方安全保障。

俄总统普京本月7日在与法国总统马克龙的会晤中警告称,如果乌克兰加入北约,欧洲国家将不可避免地被卷入同俄罗斯的军事冲突中,而冲突“没有赢家”。

栏目主编:秦红 文字




000922

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佳电股份吧(000922)

佳电股份吧

9.27-0.48-4.92%

帖子数2篇

佳电小股东

影响力注册时长1.6年

发表于 今天 10:52 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 今天 10:53

已答

早上散步回来,看下佳电股吧,又是周末,一群垃圾。

我说真话我怕谁

影响力注册时长1.4年

发表于 06-15 19:27 来自iPhone版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 今天 08:25

已答

如果哈电牵头的话,922和恒大旗下的泰特电机还是有很大的合作可能和想象空间的。

股市中的樗朽

影响力注册时长1.2年

发表于 06-14 21:24 来自Android版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-15 10:10

已答

负重前行,厚积薄发,望君共勉。

股友GCEoo7

影响力注册时长1.2年

发表于 06-14 21:25 来自Android版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 21:26

已答

只需要等几周,就可以看到中报预报信息

股友gnWUx5

影响力注册时长1.2年

发表于 06-14 20:46 来自Android版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 20:46

已答

哈尔滨电气随时会发消息

罗大鱼

影响力注册时长2.1年

发表于 06-14 19:44 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 19:45

已答

该死的庄

发表于 06-14 15:15 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 19:38

已答

佳电涨了就该卖,跌了再买回来

发表于 06-14 17:24 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 17:27

已答

傻逼股

追寻仙踪

影响力注册时长5.4年

发表于 06-14 10:24 来自Android版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 16:56

已答

垃圾就是垃圾,烂泥就是烂泥

qiu1jun重注

影响力注册时长2个月

发表于 06-14 16:48 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 16:49

已答

天天都想痛骂七剑,但是股价没底气啊,哎。什么时候让我来个痛快的

返回顶部

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乌克兰败后北约会怎样

俄乌战争已经持续了一百多天,而且依然没有结束的迹象。日前,乌克兰外长库列巴在美国《外交事务》杂志上发文称:“从俄乌冲突爆发的那一刻起,不少西方人士就呼吁我们向莫斯科妥协......可是乌克兰已经证明了自己的勇气,世界不能坐视不管。”库列巴向西方施压,要求西方向乌克兰提供更多的军事援助,以帮助乌克兰获得“全面的胜利”。为此他还试图把乌克兰和西方“捆绑”,并声称“如果乌克兰不复存在,欧洲便不再享有繁荣与安全”。

(乌克兰外长库列巴在美国媒体上发表文章,要求北约国家加大对乌克兰的支持力度)

库列巴在文章中称,随着冲突时间的延续,各国政府和人民已经逐渐对冲突失去了热情,这在历史上很常见。但是他强调称,俄罗斯这次的行为较以往更加严重,目的是彻底摧毁乌克兰的国家地位,世界不能坐视不管。很显然为了争取西方加大援助,库列巴在不断地抬升乌克兰的地位,他在文章中抨击了法国总统马克龙以及美国前国务卿基辛格,库列巴认为这些西方人士热衷于让乌克兰和俄罗斯达成妥协,这是“出卖”乌克兰。他坚持认为,只要有足够的援助,乌克兰依然能够击败俄罗斯军队,并夺回自己的部分领土。

(正在接受训练的乌克兰新兵)

实际上从过去的三个多月中不难看出,乌克兰靠自身的力量已经完全无力抵抗俄罗斯的进攻,只有依靠西方给予的援助才能勉强顶住俄军。但是随着俄军攻势的不断加大,不但乌军的武器弹药急剧消耗,同时也包括粮食、药品等等一系列的物资,兵员也逐渐匮乏。而如今即便是北约也已经支撑不起乌克兰的消耗,而乌克兰外长库列巴还希望北约能加大支援力度,甚至支持乌军对俄军发动反击,这实在是有点痴人说梦。

(目前乌克兰已经开始征召女兵,可见其兵员匮乏程度)

在这个问题上,曾经有网友算过一笔账:目前俄军在乌克兰境内总兵力约为20万人,如果要彻底把俄军从乌克兰的国土上驱逐出去,那么乌军至少要扩充到足足100万部队,如果北约真要为乌克兰武装100万部队,把北约现在库存的所有武器都搬空也办不到,更别说100万大军每天还需要人吃马喂、消耗大量燃料……这足够把北约吃破产。

(在俄军猛烈的火力打击下,乌军的装备损失速度极其惊人)

在战争刚开始时,整个北约上下显得空前团结,并且大力支持乌克兰对抗俄罗斯,但是如今4个月过去,越来越多的国家开始“出卖”乌克兰的利益,这当然让乌政府感到愤怒,所以库列巴外长才会在媒体上发表文章,对北约施压,要求加大援助。但是,如果我们反过来思考一下:被越来越多的国家“出卖”,乌克兰人自己难道就没有反思过这是为什么吗?

(俄罗斯石油出口因为战争反而出现爆炸性增长)

要解答这个问题其实也不难,原因就是:口号喊完了,日子还要过。对于欧洲国家而言,俄罗斯一直是威胁,是“宿敌”,这是欧洲几百年以来的历史决定的。而俄乌爆发战争,显然是一个削弱俄罗斯的好机会,所以欧洲国家在一开始会大力支持乌克兰和俄罗斯“死磕”。但是在一开始的热情过去后,欧洲国家发现,支援给乌克兰的军火武器根本挡不住俄军的进攻,同时由于欧洲又在能源等方面依赖俄罗斯,这导致了欧洲国家自己的日子越来越难过。一方面需要对乌克兰“输血”,另一方面自身“造血”功能却大幅萎缩,这样时间长了,俄罗斯还没垮,欧洲有些国家就要先被拖垮了。

(目前的乌克兰军队即便有北约的支持,也无法阻挡俄军的脚步)

而且值得注意的是,虽然欧洲国家禁止购买俄罗斯石油和部分天然气,但是此举反而刺激广大第三世界国家大量买进俄罗斯能源。由于战争的原因,全球石油价格暴涨,但俄罗斯石油价格却比世界平均原油价格低很多,因此第三世界国家开始大幅采购俄罗斯石油,甚至连美国也开始抢购俄罗斯的石油;根据媒体报道,3月份,美国平均每天要买进10万桶俄罗斯石油。除了加强自身能源储备以外,各国几乎都把多余采购的俄罗斯石油以高价卖给欧洲国家,以赚取差价。自战争爆发以来,俄罗斯单靠石油出口,其外汇不但没有减少,反而盈余了500多亿美元,越打越富了属于是。而欧洲国家一方面对乌克兰输血,一方面自己又不断“失血”,实在撑不下去,自然会出现越来越多的所谓“出卖”乌克兰的言论和行为。

实际上乌克兰就是北约用来牵制俄罗斯的一枚棋子,而当这枚棋子无法为北约谋取利益,反而成为北约的累赘时,那么它很快会被北约抛弃,进而变成一枚“弃子”,这就是乌克兰现在的真实处境。遗憾的是,乌克兰的政府高层却从未想到过这一点,依然天真地幻想着依靠北约的支持,打败俄罗斯,赢得战争。不得不说,这其实是乌克兰整个国家的悲哀。

(其实,要求乌克兰向俄罗斯妥协投降,并不是“出卖”乌克兰,而恰恰是让乌克兰人不要失去家园,沦为难民)

大概是知道自己的末日临近,最近乌克兰政府的举措言论也开始日益极端化。据塔斯社报道,乌克兰国防部情报总局日前在脸书网站上称,已获取克里米亚大桥的详细技术资料。乌军少将马尔琴科则表示,克里米亚大桥是目前乌军的“头号目标”。言外之意是乌军试图炸毁克里米亚大桥。

(克里米亚大桥)

但是如今俄军早已攻克马里乌波尔,打通了东乌到克里米亚的陆上通道,并且控制了亚速海沿岸的所有地区,在这种情况下,不要说乌军没有能力炸毁大桥,即便是乌克兰真的炸毁了克里米亚大桥,也无法影响俄军的正常调动,只能让全世界看到乌克兰政府是如何摧毁民用设施,进而更加厌恶现在的乌克兰政府而已。另外,乌军若是真敢炸毁克里米亚大桥,无疑是向俄罗斯全面宣战,俄军的“特别军事行动”,极有可能立刻升级为“全面战争”,到时候被激怒的俄罗斯举全国之力来攻,乌克兰失去的恐怕就不仅仅是顿巴斯地区了。




乌克兰不加入北约

【文/观察者网 刘程辉】乌克兰加入北约的计划深陷“罗生门”。当地时间6月25日,乌克兰总统办公室副主任伊戈尔·若夫克瓦(Igor Zhovkva)表示,乌克兰已接受无法加入北约的现实,不会为此采取任何进一步措施。但他表示,乌方仍然希望在北约的政策上拥有发言权。

值得一提的是,就在若夫克瓦发表此番言论三天前(22日),乌总统顾问阿雷斯托维奇声称乌克兰已经是北约“事实上”的成员国,北约已承诺帮助乌克兰“赢得”与俄罗斯的冲突。

\"今日俄罗斯\":泽连斯基顾问说,不再寻求成为北约成员国

据“今日俄罗斯”报道,若夫瓦克是在接受英国《金融时报》专访时发表此番言论的。下周,北约将在西班牙马德里召开为期两天的峰会,并公布未来十年的新战略概念文件。若夫瓦克对此表示,泽连斯基政府希望北约能够承认乌克兰是“欧洲安全的基石”,并重申他们与乌克兰的伙伴关系。

不过,若夫瓦克坦承乌克兰短期内无法加入北约,也不会继续推进加入北约的议程。

“北约成员国辜负了我们的期望。在这方面,我们不会再做任何其他事情。”

若夫瓦克说,他希望北约在新战略概念中描述俄乌冲突,并删除任何提及俄罗斯是“伙伴”的内容,“不要羞于”加入反俄文本。

“我们希望北约新战略概念会对俄罗斯‘侵略者’发出更严厉、更严重的警告。”他说。

乌克兰总统办公室副主任伊戈尔·若夫克瓦(乌通社)

早在2019年,乌克兰便将“致力于加入北约”写入宪法。俄乌冲突爆发前后,乌克兰方面多次就加入北约一事发声。

今年3月下旬,乌克兰总统泽连斯基对CNN抱怨称,倘若乌克兰加入了北约,这场冲突就不会爆发。他还公开揭露说,北约曾私底下明确拒绝了乌克兰的加入,却又在公开场合表示对乌克兰“敞开大门”。他4月还曾放风称,乌方准备就拒绝加入北约和克里米亚地位问题同俄罗斯进行谈判。

在5月下旬举行的达沃斯经济论坛上,乌克兰外长库列巴痛批北约“置身事外”,“软弱”且“毫无作为”,他称这场冲突是一场考验,“总能撕下一些面具”。

就在本周(22日),泽连斯基顾问阿雷斯托维奇接受俄

但他认为这并不重要,乌克兰已经是北约“事实上的成员国”。根据他的说法,美国领导下的乌克兰问题联络小组中50多个国家已经向乌方承诺:“永远、永远”不会让乌克兰输掉这场战争。

北约秘书长斯托尔滕贝格25日对西班牙《国家报》表示,俄乌冲突最终很可能以谈判的方式结束,但在这之前,北约的责任是尽可能为乌克兰“提供强有力的军事、经济方面的支持”,并推动针对俄罗斯的严厉制裁。

另一方面,加入北约遥遥无期的乌克兰,已在23日获批成为欧盟候选国。不过考虑到候选国距离转正仍有漫长的道路,阿尔巴尼亚总理埃迪·拉马认为,“(乌克兰获得)候选身份是件好事”,但鉴于阿尔巴尼亚已经等了8年,他建议“乌克兰人不要对快速加入欧盟抱有太多幻想”。

俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫24日表示,欧盟和北约的行为实质上相当于建立了一个针对俄罗斯的“战争联盟”。只是欧盟不像北约是个军事组织,因此乌克兰加入欧盟对俄不构成威胁。但拉夫罗夫强调,俄罗斯怀疑欧盟内部的“恐俄情绪”不会迅速消失,因此俄方将密切关注欧盟及其候选国之后的所有“实际步骤”。

本文系观察者网独家稿件,未经授权,不得转载。


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