布伦特原油今年迄今价格变化幅度:18.3%
Brent crude oilyear-to-date change: 18.3%
change 变化
糟糕的经济衰退旧时代是否可能即将返回?自欧佩克组织3月份同意削减石油供应以来,原油价格已从去年12月不到10美元,上升至每桶近26美元。这近三倍的石油价格增长唤起了1973年石油危机时的可怕记忆,当时油价翻了三番【1】,而1979-1980年的危机中,油价仍保持近两番。这两次石油危机都导致两位数的通货膨胀和全球经济衰退。那么,这次严重危机【2】的头条警告是什么呢【3】?
由于本星期伊拉克暂停石油出口,油价再一次走高。而正在加强的经济增长,以及伴随着的北半球冬季的来临,可能使油价在短期内上扬更多。
然而,我们也有相当的理由期待这次经济危机的后果没上世纪70年代那两次那么严重。在大多数国家,原油成本在汽油价格中占有的份额比上个世纪70年代少。在欧洲国家,税收占了零售汽油价格的五分之四。因此,即使原油价格有相当大的变化,其对于汽油价格的影响也会比过去温和。
注明:
【1】 3番 = 4倍 , 2番 = 3倍
【2】 "gloom and doom" 用“黑暗”和“衰微”这样的形容词指代这次石油危机,为了直观,这里直接翻译它们比喻的对象。
【3】 “where are”翻译用“是什么”比“在什么(方面)”更合适。
Since last year, the international oil prices continue to rise. On February 26, the national development and reform commission, according to a report released on February 22, New York mercantile exchange (NYMEX) futures crude oil futures contract price in recent months to $101.32 a barrel, [1] and last January 18 compared to $49.9 a barrel doubled. International oil prices continue to run high, the global economy is day by day prominent negative impact. Our country is oil import country, no doubt, to our country economic impact will be bigger, therefore, how to deal with the international oil prices, is our country at present, we need to pay special attention to and solve the problem.
A, international oil prices cause analysis
(1) the international oil market demand stability. Mainly displays in the oil price rising, and oil demand not drop.
(2) the geopolitical influence on oil supply.
(3) the international petroleum market uncertainty factors affect the oil market price.
International oil prices continue to rise this year the main reason, is the international petroleum futures market or financial market arbitrage behavior. The current international oil price is not the oil supply and demand relations the equilibrium price, but by oil supply and demand relation restrict economic relationship "equilibrium price".
Second, the international oil prices to our country the influence of economy
In 1993, China has become a net importer of oil, 2003 for the first time in more than Japan to become the world's second largest oil consumer.
(1) cause price index rising.
2) causing production enterprise cost increase
(3) effect on our country's automobile
4) increase farmers and individual worker production cost. The development of the manufacturing industry
Third, to deal with the international oil prices in strategic thinking
Oil is the national economy's blood, it is a kind of strategic resources. China's economic sustainable development, to a great extent, is to have the security stable oil supply
1. Increase domestic petroleum resources exploration and development dynamics, to ensure that the basic oil supply
2. Active investment overseas petroleum exploration and development business, safeguard overseas oil imports
(3) to establish and perfect the petroleum reserve system, avoid the risk of oil supply
(4) to carry out international petroleum futures trading, avoid international oil price risk
5. To save energy, the development of new energy, and reduce dependence on oil
6. Strengthen petroleum price system reform, to set up to adapt to the international oil price fluctuations of the market mechanism
"外企在华南投资将大增"怎么翻译成英文?"
Investments from foreign enterprises will be largely (greatly) increased.
国际原油价格下挫国内塑料期货高位回调"
The prices for the crude oil will be reduced and the domestic plastic futures will be readjusted to new high.
Rising Oil Prices Effect on China's Economy
In the past month, the price of oil has continued to rise, breaking the US$35 per barrel mark and setting a 10-year high. Oil prices in China have also gone up, reaching US$32 per barrel. But just how big is the effect of the rise in oil prices on China's economy?
Experts in the industry feel that international oil prices are already starting to threaten the stability of China's national economy. But because China's level of dependence on international oil is still within the 20% warning mark, currently, the national economy will not feel much of an effect.
The Chinese petroleum industry has been the primary beneficiary of the large fluctuation in oil prices. In the first seven months of this year, China Petroleum and Natural Gas Group has already earned a profit of 29.1 billion yuan, a 4.4-fold increase compared to the same period last year.
Official statistics show that in 1999, China output of crude oil reached 160 billion tons and it imported 40 million tons of petroleum. This year's net import is expected to exceed this figure.
China Petroleum Group Economic and Technical Institute Assistant Head Engineer Zhou Ruohong said, the rise in oil prices has put a lot of pressure on the petrochemical industry. "We hope that the price of oil can keep at a suitable level," he said.
Zhou also said, the petrochemical industry is working very hard to decrease consumption of materials and management fees to cuts costs. At the same time, because China's crude oil prices and refined oil prices became linked with international prices in 1998 and May of this year respectively, the current domestic crude oil prices and refined oil prices have gone up with international prices. Thus, the pressure on the petrochemical industry has been alleviated to a certain extent.
China's aviation industry, one of the largest customers of oil, is also facing challenges. In the first half of this year, the entire aviation industry's cost expenditures increased by 1.27 billion yuan due to soaring oil prices. Oil costs took up a greater share of the airline companies' business costs, increasing from 22% to 31%.
"But the airlines do not plan to raise the prices of all air fare, we will strengthen management, eliminate new costs and raise efficiency," said Civil Air Administration of China finance department head Hai Liancheng.
The effect of the oil price increase on the agricultural, timber and fishing industry isn't very visible mainly because these industries labor costs are higher and machinery costs are lower. Moreover, China's peasant farmers' concept of costs isn't very strong.
China Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Economic and Information Research Center engineer Gong Jinshuang felt that the rise in oil prices does not help the overall development of the national economy. On one hand, it causes many industries' costs to go up and cuts into profits, driving away investments. On the other hand, it causes prices to rise, which restricts consumer demand, causing a recession.
"But these kinds of negatives effects aren't as serious as those in developed countries," Gong said. Petroleum only accounts for around 20% of China's energy consumption structure. Petroleum and other primary goods play a greater role in the national economy compared with developed countries.
China Energy Conference Secretary General Bao Yunqiao pointed out that it is normal to have "some companies rejoicing, some companies frowning" due to the soaring oil prices. But because the Chinese government has the ability to make adjustments in the national economy on a macroeconomic level, it can adapt to the fluctuations on the international markets to a certain extent.
From a long-term perspective, as the volume of China's net petroleum imports increases every year, some experts estimate that by 2010, China's net petroleum imports will reach 100 million tons, making China the country with the fastest growing demand for oil in the world. On the international market, petroleum is a highly speculative and monopolistic commodity, whose prices fluctuate wildly. Thus, China needs to research ways to deal with this problem.
不好意思哦.自己要复习考试时间太紧,没办法提供翻译给你了.
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